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	<title>The House of Rapp &#187; homes</title>
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	<description>&#34;Come fly with me, let&#039;s take off in the blue...&#34;</description>
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		<title>Housing Bubble Blogs</title>
		<link>http://www.rapp.org/archives/2007/11/housing_bubble_blogs/</link>
		<comments>http://www.rapp.org/archives/2007/11/housing_bubble_blogs/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Nov 2007 03:18:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ron</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy/Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blogs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bubble]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[homes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Irvine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[real estate]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[One of my guilty pleasures lately has been reading a few "housing bubble blogs", web sites dedicated to tracking the carnage in the real estate market.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='wb_fb_top'><div style="float:right;"></div></div><p>One of my guilty pleasures lately has been reading a few of the many so-called &#8220;housing bubble blogs&#8221;.  These are web sites dedicated to tracking the carnage &#8212; excuse me, I mean &#8220;adjustment&#8221; &#8212; in the real estate market.</p>
<p>Until recently there were only a few of these sites on the Web.  Now there are so many that a person can barely keep track of them all.  Some are city-specific, like the <a href="http://www.irvinehousingblog.com/">Irvine Housing  Blog</a>.  Others are regional or even national.  I&#8217;m partial to the Irvine site because that&#8217;s where I live.  The site has even featured a property right next to mine.</p>
<p>One of my favorites is the concisely named <a href="http://thehousingbubbleblog.com/">Housing Bubble Blog</a>.  Unlike the <a href="http://www.irvinehousingblog.com/">Irvine-based site</a>, which analyzes specific properties within the city, this one consists primarily of quotes taken directly from traditional media throughout the country:  financial reports, newspaper articles, periodicals, etc.</p>
<p>So why do I call this a &#8220;guilty&#8221; pleasure?  Because the worse real estate gets, the more I enjoy it.   OK, I could do without all the snarky comments left by grumpy renters and those who can&#8217;t afford to buy.  But overall, I&#8217;m enjoying the return of sanity and balance to at least one part of the world.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ll admit it&#8217;s a bit callous to get a sense of satisfaction out of other people&#8217;s misfortune, but why shouldn&#8217;t I?  I&#8217;m no genius, yet I saw the handwriting on the wall before it even started.  Here&#8217;s something <a href="http://www.rapp.org/archives/2003/11/the_frenzied_housing_market/">I wrote four years ago</a>.  And I&#8217;d been harping on it for at least a couple of years prior to that.</p>
<p>The math is simple and hasn&#8217;t changed one iota:  income growth is 3-4%, so real estate cannot sustain annual gains much beyond that.</p>
<p>Not that anyone asked, but if you want my prognosis for the next few years, I&#8217;ll take exception to those expecting a quick recovery and cast my lot with Mr. T.</p>
<p>My prediction:  <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z1TxiVhrkZA">pain</a>.</p>
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